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The possibility of Comcast acquiring ITV has sparked worries about the consequences on the UK's public service broadcasting, a reality that Channel 4’s new chief executive, moving from a high-ranking position at Sky, will be keenly aware of.

Sky’s advertising chief, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to spearhead efforts to thwart her ex-company's acquisition bid to protect Channel 4.

The envisaged merger of Sky and ITV’s broadcasting operation would leave Channel 4 a relative commercial minnow in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reigniting discussion of the need to re-examine some form of alliance with the BBC for long-term survival.

Foremost Worry: The Future of News

However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news provision that are causing the most present anxiety for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing unease among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn acquisition of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of self-rule, is laden with regulatory, political, and competition issues.

At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a majority holding—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be deeply engaged in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal materialises, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will focus minds politically,” says one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to ending, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.

It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include guarantees not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to alter the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes duties to national and regional news.

“There are clearly questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast understand ways of solving these problems.”

A System Under Threat

British TV executives have previously highlighted the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had overtaken ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

The Need for Unity

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the backdrop of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer collaboration between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK must have its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that requires them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming titan, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Competition Hurdles

Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will widen the scope of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get cleared,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Funding Problems of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a diminished BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a core budgetary challenge,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”

The ongoing saga underscores a larger question for British media: how to safeguard a distinctive voice and a diverse public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.